Determinants of Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Industry and Agricultural Sectors in Turkey: Index Decomposition Analysis

Abstract

This study aims to analyze greenhouse gas emissions changes in industry and agricultural sectors by utilizing LMDI method over the period of 1990-2014 in Turkey. For this purpose, these changes have been decomposed to four factors (emissions-factor effect, intensity effect, structural effect and activity effect) generally accepted in the literature as factors affecting emissions. Analysis findings indicate that key determinants of greenhouse gas emissions in industry and agricultural sectors are energy intensity effect. On the other hand, according to the Decoupling Analyse, there is a same direction change between economic growth and greenhouse gas emissions in Turkeybetween the years of 1990-2010. After 2010, the rate of increase occuring in the economic growth is higher than the rate of increase occuring in greenhouse gas emissions, and thus, decouplin in seen between the variables.